AP, Minsk, Belarus : Russian President Vladimir Putin on Saturday signaled his intention to establish a Russian military air base in neighboring Belarus – a move sure to unnerve Poland and the Baltic nations.Belarus has made clear it would not welcome a Russian base, but the former Soviet republic remains dependent on Moscow for credit and energy.Putin ordered the Russian Defense Ministry, with the participation of the Russian Foreign Ministry, to hold talks with their Belarusian counterparts and sign the agreement that is reached.Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko has not commented on Putin’s initiative. The two presidents met Friday in the southern Russian city of Sochi.Russia has radar and a navy communications facility in Belarus, but this would be the first base.Belarus is a desirable location for Russia because it borders Ukraine and three members of the European Union and NATO: Lithuania, Latvia and Poland.”Against the background of the Ukrainian crisis, the stationing of a permanent Russian military contingent in Belarus will upset the balance of forces and facilitate an increase in tension in the whole region,” said analyst Valery Karbalevich.As part of an effort to improve Belarus’ relations with the West, Lukashenko has stayed neutral on the conflict in Ukraine between the Western-aligned government in Kiev and the Russia-backed separatists in the east.”It is obvious that the Kremlin really twisted Lukashenko’s arm,” Karbalevich said. “Belarus is totally dependent on Russia and has to pay somehow for the cheap Russian oil, gas and credits.”Meanwhile, Russia’s buildup at Syria’s Latakia airbase has raised the possibility of air combat missions in Syrian airspace. Heavy Russian equipment, including tanks, helicopters and naval infantry forces, have been moved to Latakia, U.S. officials say.Kerry said of Assad’s removal: “For the last year and a half we have said Assad has to go, but how long and what the modality is …that’s a decision that has to be made in the context of the Geneva process and negotiation.”
