NDA to fall short of majority mark

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Deccan Herald :
The United Progressive Alliance (UPA), led by Congress, is predicted to win 147 seats while Others, comprising regional and national parties not aligned with either of the alliances, set to win 144 seats.
An opinion poll conducted by news channel Times Now and survey agency VMR has predicted 252 seats for the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the upcoming Lok Sabha polls.
The current Lok Sabha has 543 seats, of which the NDA, led by Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) had won 336 seats during the 2014 national elections. Of the 336 seats, the BJP had won 282 seats alone, 10 more than the majority mark of 272. The United Progressive Alliance (UPA), led by Congress, is predicted to win 147 seats while Others, comprising regional and national parties not aligned with either of the alliances, set to win 144 seats.
According to the survey, the BJP is all set to make major gains in Odisha and West Bengal, where the saffron party has trained its focus in the recent months.
The survey predicts that the BJP would win nine seats in West Bengal, an increase from two during the 2014 Lok Sabha polls. While the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC), according to the survey, will sweep Bengal, winning 32 of the 42 seats, Congress and the Left would be decimated.
In case of Odisha, where the BJP held its national executive meeting in 2017, the survey predicts that the party will win 13 seats, a significant increase from its dismal 2014 performance when it won only
one Lok Sabha seat. The ruling Biju Janata Dal (BJD), led by long-time supremo Naveen Patnaik, would manage to win eight seats, a drop from its 2014 tally when it won 20 out of the 21 Parliamentary seats in the state. Odisha’s assembly elections are also scheduled to take place along with the national elections in 2019.
In Maharashtra, which has the second highest number of Lok Sabha seats at 48, the BJP-Shiv Sena combine is predicted to win 43 seats as against the 42 it won in 2014. The Congress-Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) combine’s tally is set to down from six to five, according to the survey. Multiple reports have stated that the BJP-ruled Maharashtra, along with Haryana and Jharkhand, might move for simultaneous polls.
According to the survey, in Gujarat, the BJP is likely to gain 24 out of its 26 seats, the Congress winning the remaining two. In Goa, Congress and BJP would win one seat each, the survey has predicted. The BJP had won both the seats in 2014.
The survey has predicted a huge defeat for the BJP and its allies in Uttar Pradesh, the state with the highest number of Lok Sabha seats at 80. The NDA in UP is likely to slump to 27 seats, as against the 73 it won in 2014. Numbers presented by the survey suggest that the BJP’s loss is the Samajwadi Party-Bahujan Samaj Party (SP-BSP) Mahagathbandhan’s gain, with the combine predicted to win 51 seats. Congress, which was kept out of the grand alliance in UP, will manage to cobble up only two seats, the survey has predicted.
In states like Jharkhand and Bihar, BJP and its allies might face stiff opposition and lose seats. According to the survey, the BJP combine’s tally is likely to go down from 30 to 25 in Bihar. The Mahagathbandhan, led by Congress and Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), will increase its tally from 10 to 15, the survey has predicted.
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